SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
54.6% ( 0.02) | 23.82% ( -0.01) | 21.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( 0.02) | 49.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% ( 0.01) | 71.25% ( -0.02) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 0.01) | 17.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( 0.02) | 48.69% ( -0.02) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( -0.01) | 37.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% ( -0) | 74.06% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.57% |
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