SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
44.25% ( -0.01) | 25.08% ( -0.02) | 30.67% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( 0.11) | 47.48% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.1) | 69.69% ( -0.1) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.04) | 21.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( 0.06) | 54.5% ( -0.06) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.08) | 28.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.09) | 64.85% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.67% |
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