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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
London Stadium
LT

West Ham
3 - 1
Luton

Ward-Prowse (54'), Soucek (65'), Earthy (76')
Palmieri (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sambi Lokonga (6')
Barkley (10'), Burke (79'), Morris (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
64.05% (-0.562 -0.56) 18.68% (0.221 0.22) 17.26% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82% (-0.453 -0.45)32.18% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.23% (-0.532 -0.53)53.77% (0.529 0.53)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.258 -0.26)9.57% (0.2569 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)32.02% (0.603 0.6)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.084000000000003 0.08)31.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.093999999999998 0.09)68.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 64.06%
    Luton Town 17.26%
    Draw 18.68%
West Ham UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.065 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.06%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.49% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 17.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Liverpool
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 5-2 West Ham
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Fulham
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 West Ham
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Luton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Luton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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