Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
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