Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.
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