With these two sides entering this contest in contrasting form, Celta will be backed to continue their strong run. Nevertheless, we are selecting Valencia to regain some confidence in their concluding fixture, even if it will not make up for the disappointment of missing out on Europe.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.43) 
-0.07) 
