SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Maritimo |
45.92% ( 0.37) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 28.4% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.42) | 51.17% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.37) | 73.02% ( 0.37) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.01) | 22.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.3% ( -0.01) | 55.7% ( 0.01) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.53) | 32.49% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.6) | 69.01% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.4% |
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