Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Altona Magic had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for an Altona Magic win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
