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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
42.14% ( 0.62) | 22.31% ( 0.05) | 35.54% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 67.73% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.37% ( -0.4) | 32.62% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.71% ( -0.46) | 54.29% ( 0.46) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( 0.08) | 16.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( 0.14) | 45.82% ( -0.14) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.5) | 19.1% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.82) | 50.72% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.54% |
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