SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Girona |
52.21% ( -0.94) | 24.03% ( 0.21) | 23.76% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( -0.18) | 47.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( -0.16) | 69.96% ( 0.16) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.42) | 18.27% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -0.72) | 49.33% ( 0.72) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.55) | 34.44% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( 0.58) | 71.16% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.76% |
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