SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
36.86% ( -0.13) | 26.96% ( -0.02) | 36.18% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( 0.09) | 54.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( 0.07) | 75.59% ( -0.07) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.03) | 28.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.93% ( -0.04) | 64.07% ( 0.04) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.13) | 28.74% ( -0.13) |
