Napoli have been ruthless in pre-season, while Brest have struggled for consistency, and this is why we are backing Conte's men to be victorious once again at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Brest
60% ( 0.22)	21.45% ( -0.04)	18.55% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.9% (

-0.09)

43.1% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.5% (

-0.09)

65.5% (

0.09)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.04)

13.96% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.55% (

0.07)

41.44% (

-0.07)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

-0.25)

36.92% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.25)

73.71% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Napoli 59.99%

Brest 18.55%

Draw 21.45%

Napoli	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.45%	0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.55%