SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Brest |
60% ( 0.22) | 21.45% ( -0.04) | 18.55% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( -0.09) | 43.1% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( -0.09) | 65.5% ( 0.09) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.04) | 13.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% ( 0.07) | 41.44% ( -0.07) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( -0.25) | 36.92% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -0.25) | 73.71% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.45% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.55% |
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