SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | St Pauli |
37.17% ( -0.43) | 24.63% ( 0.18) | 38.21% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( -0.86) | 43.9% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( -0.85) | 66.29% ( 0.84) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.61) | 23.38% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -0.9) | 57.35% ( 0.9) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( -0.26) | 22.84% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( -0.38) | 56.56% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.21% |
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