Although Lyon may be without a couple of their new additions, they still have several new players in the squad who will be keen to make a positive impression, and we think that the French side will ultimately have enough quality to emerge victorious from Wednesday's friendly.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
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