Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
4.96) 
-0.12) 
