Real Betis have only won four of their 16 away league matches this season, but Osasuna are in a very poor run of form, and we are backing the hosts to suffer their 17th league defeat of the campaign on Sunday, with Real Betis boosting their European hopes in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.28) 
