SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
36.79% ( -0.26) | 23.82% ( 0.06) | 39.39% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.31) | 39.99% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( -0.32) | 62.35% ( 0.32) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.27) | 21.81% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( -0.41) | 55.02% ( 0.42) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.04) | 20.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -0.06) | 53.05% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.39% |
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