Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Niort had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%).