SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Notts County |
56.93% ( 2.05) | 20.18% ( -0.51) | 22.89% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 66.11% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.18% ( 0.75) | 30.82% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.83% ( 0.89) | 52.17% ( -0.89) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( 0.8) | 10.92% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.88% ( 1.73) | 35.11% ( -1.73) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0.72) | 25.78% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( -0.99) | 60.73% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.14)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.18% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.89% |
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