Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for York City had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.06) 
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