SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Notts County |
56.73% ( 1.9) | 20.24% ( -0.46) | 23.02% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 66.01% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.99% ( 0.58) | 31.01% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.6% ( 0.68) | 52.39% ( -0.68) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( 0.7) | 11.03% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.64% ( 1.52) | 35.36% ( -1.52) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.75) | 25.8% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( -1.03) | 60.75% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.13)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.73% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.24% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.02% |
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