Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
23.08% ( -0.75) | 22.1% ( -0.07) | 54.82% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 59.23% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.11% ( -0.5) | 39.89% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.75% ( -0.52) | 62.25% ( 0.52) |
Tokyo Verdy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -0.9) | 30.71% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.03% ( -1.08) | 66.96% ( 1.08) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% ( 0.09) | 14.52% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.47% ( 0.18) | 42.53% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 6% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.08% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.82% |
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