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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
BL

Tokyo Verdy
2 - 4
Brighton

Kimura (15'), Hayashi (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Paul van Hecke (11'), Minteh (44'), Adingra (49'), Sarmiento (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-4 Brighton & Hove Albion

Although Tokyo Verdy will be able to name a strong lineup on Sunday, they are unlikely to overwork many of their starters in this friendly given their league season is ongoing. Considering the ease with which Brighton dispatched third-placed Kashima Antlers on July 24, the Seagulls should come into the game as strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
23.08% (-0.755 -0.75) 22.1% (-0.073 -0.07) 54.82% (0.828 0.83)
Both teams to score 59.23% (-0.706 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.11% (-0.5 -0.5)39.89% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.75% (-0.52 -0.52)62.25% (0.52 0.52)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.904 -0.9)30.71% (0.904 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-1.08 -1.08)66.96% (1.08 1.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (0.093999999999994 0.09)14.52% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.47% (0.184 0.18)42.53% (-0.185 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 23.08%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.82%
    Draw 22.09%
Tokyo VerdyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.08%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.247 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.31% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.34% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.58% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.99% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, July 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-0 Tokyo Verdy
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Brighton
Wednesday, July 24 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-2 Chelsea
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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