Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.