Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
1.92) 
-0.05) 
