Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	SPAL
42.1% ( -0.02)	25.7% ( 0.01)	32.2% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

-0.02)

49.62% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

-0.02)

71.64% (

0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.02)

23.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

-0.02)

57.39% (

0.02)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

29.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08%

64.91% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Modena 42.1%

SPAL 32.2%

Draw 25.7%

Modena	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.1%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.2%