SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Shields | Draw | Hartlepool United |
47.64% ( -0.25) | 24.09% ( 0.08) | 28.27% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.27) | 44.43% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( -0.26) | 66.8% ( 0.26) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.2) | 18.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( -0.34) | 50.18% ( 0.34) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.02) | 29.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.02) | 65.01% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Shields | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.27% |
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