Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.4%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.