While Sparta should secure the final Conference League playoff spot for the season, they are only two goals and three points ahead of Go Ahead Eagles and will want to avoid a nervy ending to the campaign. The hosts have been solid over the last four gameweeks, and we feel they will end the term with a narrow home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heerenveen
43.48% ( 0)	23.22% ( 0)	33.3% ( -0)

Both teams to score 63.56% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.2%

37.8% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.95%

60.05% (

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

17.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.42% (

48.58% (

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

22.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72% (

-0)

56.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 43.48%

Heerenveen 33.3%

Draw 23.22%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.88% Total : 43.48%	1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.3%