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Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
H

Sparta
2 - 1
Heerenveen

Neghli (57'), Lauritsen (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bochniewicz (90+1')
Braude (59'), Kohlert (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Heerenveen

While Sparta should secure the final Conference League playoff spot for the season, they are only two goals and three points ahead of Go Ahead Eagles and will want to avoid a nervy ending to the campaign. The hosts have been solid over the last four gameweeks, and we feel they will end the term with a narrow home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen
43.48% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.22% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 63.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2%37.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95%60.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)48.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 43.48%
    Heerenveen 33.3%
    Draw 23.22%
Sparta RotterdamDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-2 Sparta
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-3 Sparta
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-4 Sparta
Tuesday, April 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Heerenveen
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Utrecht
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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