SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 56.84%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | De Graafschap |
56.84% ( 0.95) | 20.97% ( -0.32) | 22.18% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 62.05% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.76) | 35.63% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.31% ( 0.84) | 57.69% ( -0.84) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( 0.52) | 12.48% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.54% ( 1.08) | 38.46% ( -1.09) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.1) | 29.09% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( -0.12) | 65.01% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.24% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.2% Total : 22.18% |
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