SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | NAC Breda |
50.09% ( 0.23) | 23.3% ( -0.18) | 26.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% ( 0.81) | 42.03% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.56% ( 0.81) | 64.44% ( -0.81) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( 0.39) | 16.92% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% ( 0.68) | 46.97% ( -0.69) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0.39) | 29.06% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( 0.48) | 64.97% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.09% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 26.61% |
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