SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Cambuur |
49.58% ( 0.7) | 22% ( -0.07) | 28.42% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 65.26% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.61% ( -0.11) | 34.39% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.7% ( -0.12) | 56.3% ( 0.12) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( 0.19) | 14.29% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( 0.38) | 42.09% ( -0.38) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( -0.45) | 23.86% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( -0.65) | 58.04% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.42% |
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