SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Porto |
22.97% ( -0.04) | 22.49% ( -0) | 54.54% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.15% ( -0.03) | 41.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.74% ( -0.03) | 64.26% ( 0.03) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( -0.05) | 31.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( -0.06) | 68.34% ( 0.06) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.01) | 15.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.01) | 44% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.97% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.54% |
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