SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Monaco |
39.48% ( 0.63) | 23.95% ( -0.03) | 36.57% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.33% ( 0.13) | 40.67% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.95% ( 0.14) | 63.06% ( -0.13) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.36) | 20.79% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( 0.56) | 53.45% ( -0.56) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.24) | 22.23% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.37) | 55.65% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.57% |
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