While Urawa have the advantage of being midway through their J1 League campaign, their recent form has been dismal, while Newcastle's players will be fresh and wanting to set the tempo ahead of a new campaign, leading us to believe the visitors will win this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
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