SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
46.76% ( 0.06) | 21.74% ( -0.01) | 31.49% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 68.34% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.79% ( 0.01) | 31.2% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.01) | 52.63% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( 0.02) | 14.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.37% ( 0.04) | 41.63% ( -0.04) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.02) | 20.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( -0.04) | 52.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.49% |
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