Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
44.5% ( -0.36) | 28.43% ( 0.08) | 27.07% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.16% ( -0.13) | 61.84% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.38% ( -0.09) | 81.62% ( 0.1) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0.25) | 27.73% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( -0.32) | 63.3% ( 0.32) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% ( 0.17) | 39.32% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% ( 0.16) | 76.02% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 27.07% |
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