SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
40.3% ( 0.13) | 22.59% ( -0.12) | 37.11% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.92% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.22% ( 0.61) | 33.78% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.69) | 55.61% ( -0.69) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( 0.31) | 17.49% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% ( 0.54) | 47.98% ( -0.55) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 0.26) | 18.89% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( 0.43) | 50.37% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.11% |
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