SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Groningen |
25.5% ( -0.39) | 23.59% ( 0.05) | 50.91% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( -0.55) | 44.3% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( -0.53) | 66.67% ( 0.54) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.6) | 31.11% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.71) | 67.44% ( 0.71) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -0.07) | 17.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( -0.13) | 47.93% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.8% Total : 50.91% |
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