Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
-0.39) 
0.05) 
