Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (4.8%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Cambuur |
36.01% ( -0.04) | 21.23% ( -0.01) | 42.75% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 72.15% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.04% ( 0.06) | 26.96% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.56% ( 0.07) | 47.44% ( -0.08) |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% ( 0.01) | 16.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.08% ( 0.02) | 45.91% ( -0.02) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% ( 0.04) | 13.76% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.94% ( 0.08) | 41.06% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 36.01% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% 3-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 42.75% |
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