Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.