Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wehen Wiesbaden win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
