Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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