Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
73.28% (![]() | 15.53% (![]() | 11.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.11% (![]() | 30.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.74% (![]() | 52.26% (![]() |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% (![]() | 7.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.7% (![]() | 26.29% (![]() |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.03% (![]() | 38.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% (![]() | 75.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-0 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.87% Total : 73.28% | 1-1 @ 6.99% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.53% | 1-2 @ 3.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 11.19% |
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