Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Canada had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
