SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Canada |
34.27% ( 0.24) | 28.71% ( -0.21) | 37.01% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.11% ( 0.73) | 60.89% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.09% ( 0.55) | 80.91% ( -0.55) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.55) | 33.34% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 0.59) | 69.96% ( -0.59) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( 0.36) | 31.56% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( 0.41) | 67.95% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.01% |
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