Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.