Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.