SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
50.96% ( -0.31) | 26.76% ( 0.1) | 22.28% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.59% ( -0.15) | 59.41% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( -0.12) | 79.79% ( 0.12) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.2) | 23.49% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.3) | 57.51% ( 0.3) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.13) | 42.39% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% ( 0.11) | 78.77% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.28% |
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