Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
36.05% ( 0.28) | 27.48% ( 0.05) | 36.47% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 49.41% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.75% ( -0.19) | 56.25% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% ( -0.15) | 77.3% ( 0.16) |
Olympiacos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% ( 0.08) | 29.84% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% ( 0.1) | 65.92% ( -0.09) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( -0.29) | 29.58% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( -0.36) | 65.61% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.47% |
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