Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.33) 
