Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
